Global Economy 2026

Global Economy 2026: The New Era of Growth, Inflation, and Geopolitical Risks

The global economy is entering a new phase where technology, geopolitics, and monetary policy are shaping the future more than ever before. While economic growth remains positive, major institutions are warning about rising risks. According to the IMF, global growth is expected around 3.1% in 2026, lower than historical averages due to geopolitical tensions, energy…

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Iran deal

Trump says the Iran deal is in its “final stage.” Markets erupt. Oil craters. AI soars.

THE EMERGING EDGE—Edition No. 5 · 21 May 2026Global & Emerging Markets Intelligence LIVE DATA — 21 MAY 2026 THE THREE STORIES TODAY Market math on a confirmed deal:→ Brent crude: $105 → $80-85 within 30 days (-$20-25 more downside)→ India Sensex: +5-8% rally (85% oil import dependency)→ EM broad: Largest single-session rally of 2026→…

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The Emerging Edge

The Emerging Edge

Global & Emerging Markets Intelligence  ·  Weekly Briefing Global & Emerging Markets Intelligence The Emerging Edge Edition No. 2  ·  15 May 2026  ·  Weekly Briefing MSCI EM 2025: +33.1%  |  Sensex: 75,741  |  China GDP Q1: +5.0%  |  EM GDP 2026E: ~4.0% | IMF Global: 3.3% | US Tariffs: 13.7% EDITOR’S NOTE   Emerging markets are…

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the Strait of Hormuz

A 10-Day Window of Calm? Why the Strait of Hormuz Reopening Matters

The geopolitical landscape of the Middle East just shifted in a significant—albeit temporary—way. Following the announcement of a 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, Iran has officially signaled a “calm seas” policy for one of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoints. The Strategic Shift Iranian Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi confirmed on Friday that the…

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Global Markets

Global Markets Breathe a Sigh of Relief as US-Iran Tensions Show Signs of Easing

Tuesday, April 14, 2026 Financial markets kicked off the Asian trading session on an optimistic note Tuesday, as renewed diplomatic signals between Washington and Tehran gave investors enough reason to move away from defensive positions—even as a full resolution remains elusive. Equities Rally on Diplomatic Glimmers Asian bourses were among the biggest beneficiaries of the…

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