“Big Beautiful Bill” passes. Nikkei hits 63,339. Markets at war with themselves.

Markets

MARKETTECHGURU — Sunday 24 May 2026
Global Markets Weekly Edition

LIVE DATA — 24 MAY 2026 (Yahoo Finance real-time)

  • Nikkei 225: 63,339 (+2.68%) — BEST GLOBAL MAJOR INDEX 🏆
  • Dow Jones: 50,579 (+0.58% Friday) — above 50K milestone
  • S&P 500: 7,405 (-0.37% live Sunday session)
  • Nasdaq: 26,146 (-0.47%)
  • DAX Germany: 24,888 (+1.15%)
  • FTSE 100: 10,466 (+0.22%)
  • CAC 40: 8,115 (+0.37%)
  • Euro STOXX 50: 6,019 (+0.99%)
  • Hang Seng: 25,606 (+0.86%)
  • Shanghai SSE: 4,112 (+0.87%)
  • VIX: 16.70 (-0.36%)
  • Brent crude: $106.82 (+1.71%)
  • Gold: $4,519 (-0.36%)
  • Bitcoin: $77,143 (-0.14%)

THE 3 BIG STORIES THIS WEEK

  1. “ONE BIG BEAUTIFUL BILL” PASSES THE US HOUSE
    The most significant fiscal legislation in a generation:
    → Raises US debt ceiling by $5T (largest single increase in US history)
    → Makes 2017 Trump tax cuts permanent
    → No tax on tips, no tax on overtime
    → $150B more defence + $150B more border enforcement
    → CBO projects +$3.8T deficit addition over 2026-2034
    → US 30Y yields spiked on fiscal math concerns
    → Moody’s Aa1 + OBBB = structurally dollar-weakening
    UBS: “Persistent deficits and higher Treasury supply could put upward pressure on yields at the long end of the curve.”
  2. WALMART Q1 FY27 BEATS
    → eCommerce: +26% globally
    → US comp sales: +4.1%
    → Operating income: +5% (despite +250bps fuel cost headwind)
    → FY27 guidance maintained: net sales +3.5-4.5%
    Signal: US consumer is resilient despite oil shock. Walmart is managing costs.
  3. NIKKEI 63,339 — JAPAN LEADS THE WORLD
    +2.68% today. +22%+ YTD. World’s best major index.
    AI semiconductors + weak yen + corporate reform + April exports 14.8%.
    Still the most underreported winner of 2026.

TODAY’S 6 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES

  1. GOLD ($4,519) — OBBB STRUCTURAL BULL
    US debt + a $5T ceiling raise + Moody’s Aa1 + structural dollar weakness = gold’s medium-term case just got stronger. A dip to $4,519 is tactical. Morgan Stanley year-end target: $5,200.
  2. JAPAN — NIKKEI 63,339
    World’s best index. AI supply chain + yen + corporate reform. Target 65K-68K by Q3.
  3. EM AI SUPPLY CHAIN (TSMC, SK HYNIX, PCBs)
    Nvidia: $44.1B revenue. TSMC = 12%+ MSCI EM. OBBB fiscal boost → US tech capex → EM manufacturers benefit. Structural multi-year supercycle.
  4. INDIA SENSEX — ASYMMETRIC IRAN DEAL TRADE
    -11.6% YTD. 85% oil importer. The Iran deal is still in its “final stage.” Hormuz confirmation = a +5-8% single-session rally. The most asymmetric EM trade alive.
  5. SHORT-US LONG-DURATION
    30Y yields at Oct-2023 highs. OBBB adds $3.8T. Yale: 10Y yield is +1.2 pp from bill alone. Avoid TLT. Rotate to EM local bonds at 9%+.
  6. BITCOIN ($77,143) — FISCAL DEBASEMENT PLAY
    $5T debt ceiling raise = dollar debasement narrative. Every major US fiscal expansion preceded a BTC rally. Analyst targets $100K-$150K for 2026 cycle.

Sources: Yahoo Finance · Walmart SEC · UBS · FX Street · Crestwood Advisors · Trading Economics · CBO. Not investment advice.

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